Jack Barton said:
Curmudgeon said:
So, for statistical purposes, let's say two years.
6 surveys per year.
That's 12,000 per year.
In two years, that's 24,000.
Out of 30,000 subscribers.
What part of that don’t you understand again?
Well, Mr Goodson it’s the RANDOM part. When Marc says the surveys are randomly selected, I feel comfortable believing him.
There is no way 12 random selections of 2000 will produce 24,000 different people. In a random selection it is likely and probable that one individual will receive all 12. It is also likely and probable that another subscriber would have received none. Unless it is a random selection of those who have not been selected previously? (annually?)
I feel a lot more comfortable when Mr Mueller is handling the math!
Okay, Jack, you come up with a random possibility of actual numbers.
Folks seem to want to know the scale.
Note that it didn’t ask if they cared what that scale was.
In all of this, just in case you missed it (which I would guess happened), the remains of the ex-LGB are on the table, announcements are pending, and the hope of the 94% of the Garden Railroad Community is that whoever the new owners are, they will see this 94% and if nothing else run their own numbers.
I do believe, completely, that the days of the rubber-scale toy are past.
Not that they won’t continue, but rather that the demand for such is no longer a sales leader.
That said, when they do run the numbers, they might find that #1 gauge modellers are a very small segment of the hobby, and ones who model specific themes, as it were, smaller yet.
Unfortunately, I know what some of those numbers are, know what all manufacturers are up against, and the “mindset” of the hobbyist who is not satisfied with the current release, rather, when the latest comes out, on some forums you will see statements to the effect of, gee, that was nice…what’s next?
That’s hobby-wide.
And, with the cost of materials (copper and brass particularly), rising mandatory minimum wage hikes, shipping costs, value of Yuan to Dollar, the cost of out toys is going to be nothing like what we saw 10 years ago.
I’m not arguing with you.
However, the only publicised survey of consumer wants is what we have here.
You have better?
Post it.
The only way folks will understand is to read all they can.
Lionel didn’t publish scales back when either, and some wag found in measuring thousands of pieces it was 1:52 or 1:53.